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Fantasy Football for Smart People: How to Win at Daily Fantasy Sports, by Jonathan Bales
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"Fantasy Football for Smart People: How to Win at Daily Fantasy Sports" is a data-driven guide to becoming a profitable daily fantasy player. Built around daily fantasy football but applicable to all sports, the book examines advanced DFS strategies, providing data on what's actually winning leagues. Gain access to the latest trends and numbers you need to give you a serious competitive edge in the world of daily fantasy sports.
"How to Win at Daily Fantasy Sports" brings "Moneyball" to daily fantasy football, applying a scientific approach to the game. The book will teach you:
• How to properly allocate salary cap
• Which lineup combinations are most optimal
• How to use a contrarian strategy to win tournaments
• Which positions/players to use in the flex
• How to convert your season-long skill set into DFS success
• A whole lot more
No more guessing or making decisions based on conventional wisdom. "How to Win at Daily Fantasy Sports" provides the mathematical and game-theory-driven foundation you need to become a truly long-term profitable daily fantasy sports player.
- Sales Rank: #72488 in eBooks
- Published on: 2015-08-05
- Released on: 2015-08-05
- Format: Kindle eBook
Review
"Jonathan's content is the best in daily fantasy sports, period. He's one of the most innovative thinkers within the entire fantasy sports community."
- Peter Jennings, aka "CSURAM88" (2014 DraftKings Fantasy Baseball Championship $1 Million Winner)
From the Author
Table of Contents
I. The Introductory Chapter to My Book�
There's not much that's useful in this chapter. I feel bad even calling it a 'chapter,' to be honest. If this were a meal, this section wouldn't even be an appetizer. It would be like maybe some bread that's been sitting in the back that they bring out to everyone. But not really good bread with olive oil and stuff--just like hard, stale bread that you take one bite out of and then set down and then maybe give another chance later in the meal to soak up the sauce from your linguine because you think maybe you were too harsh on the bread earlier, but you realize it's even worse than you thought because you were really hungry when you sat down and it�still�tasted really shitty.
I guess I'm saying I'd probably just skip it if I were you.
�
II. My Approach to Daily Fantasy Football Sports�
This is the appetizer, and the appetizer can sometimes be the best part of a meal. In this chapter, I discuss broad daily fantasy strategy that becomes the foundation from which you can apply data found later in the book. This includes:
Employing a contrarian approach to DFS
Using game theory in daily fantasy sports
Exploiting public psychology
Developing an "antifragile" game plan
Probability and visualizing ranges of outcomes
Harnessing correlational effects in the NFL
�
III. Into the Lab: Testing Daily Fantasy Football Strategies�
Working with our tools at Fantasy Labs, I examine historical pricing and performance data to determine how to best construct daily fantasy football lineups. You'll learn:
Whether or not streaky play exists and can predict success
How much Vegas lines matter for each position
How player/position consistency should alter your strategy
When to be price-sensitive
How to account for the impact of division games
How to use the weather to better project players
�
IV. A Numbers Game: The Data on What's Really Winning Leagues�
Utilizing data from DraftKings, I examine which strategies are the most profitable in daily fantasy football, including:
Which positions to use in the flex based on the league
How the most successful players allocate their cap space
How ownership affects GPP success
Which player combinations lead to the highest win rates
If you should stack teammates in cash games
The average scores needed to cash in each league type
V. The Ultimate List of Daily Fantasy Football Heuristics�
A very long list of general daily fantasy heuristics, generated using research and data from the book
�
VI. Sample from "Daily Fantasy Pros Reveal Their Money-Making Secrets"�
An excerpt on advanced tournament play with Al_Smizzle
About the Author
Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Sports for Smart People series, co-founder of FantasyLabs - a daily fantasy sports analytics platform - and founder of RotoAcademy.
Most helpful customer reviews
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Step your Fantasy game up
By #1 Stunna
Looking to step your fantasy game up? JBales' insight and statistical analysis regarding fantasy sports in unrivaled. He is also humorous with his quips, which makes for easy reading. In this rendition of his fantasy sports analysis, he walks one through the myriad of ff players' concerns, what stats to be on the look out for, and how to gain an edge in your own analysis. If you do play any degree of fantasy sports, this book should definitely be a part of your library.
6 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Can't wait to increase profits!
By jonathan robinson
If I had to choose my favorite fantasy sports author it would no doubt be Jonathan Bales. Everything he puts out is great and this book is no exception. I love that he always relies on statistics as the foundation for his research so you know that the methods he recommends are successful.
My favorite part in the book is learning about how the vegas lines impact each fantasy position and learning the win probabilities for certain player correlations i.e. how often do fantasy teams with a paired QB and RB have success etc. Keep up the great work.
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
It doesnt get better.
By atlmoon
The insight in this book is hard to find even in the avalanche of info in the DFS world today. If your looking for that couple extra points to pass the others by in your contests this is the book to show you how. A must read!
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